FLAME: Training and Validating a Newly Conceived Model Incorporating Alpha-Glutathione-S-Transferase Serum Levels for Predicting Advanced Hepatic Fibrosis and Acute Cardiovascular Events in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD).

Alpha-Glutathione-S-transferase (alphaGST) is a liver enzyme whose serum levels increase with the worsening of fibrosis in alcoholic and viral chronic hepatitis. Its usefulness in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) remains unexplored. From January 2016 to December 2017, 200 patients with MASLD and 30 controls were enrolled. AlphaGST serum levels were measured. Variables related to advanced fibrosis (AF) were selected via Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and the best cut-off (BCO) was estimated using ROC analysis. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM), NAFLD fibrosis (NFS), Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and BMI-AST/ALT Ratio-Diabetes (BARD) scores were determined. The first acute cardiovascular events (ACE) in ACE-naïve subjects were recorded over five years. A validation cohort of 60 MASLD patients was enrolled from January 2018 to May 2019 and followed for five years. AlphaGST levels increased with fibrosis stage (p < 0.0001) in both cohorts, showing high accuracy in predicting AF (TrC: AUC 0.89, VlC: AUC 0.89). PCA-selected variables were HbA1c, HDL, and alphaGST, forming the "FLAME" model. FLAME showed superior predictive performance for AF and ACEs compared to other models and scores. FLAME represents a novel tool that accurately predicts AF and ACEs in MASLD.