Modeling the Prediction on the Efficacy of a Homologous Third Dose of CoronaVac Against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1, BA.2, BA.2.12.1, and BA.4/5 - China, 2020-2021

基于同源疫苗第三剂CoronaVac对SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1、BA.2、BA.2.12.1和BA.4/5的有效性预测模型——中国,2020-2021年

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Abstract

WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC? Previous studies have reported vaccine efficacy or effectiveness against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Omicron subvariants for several vaccine platforms. However, there are currently few data on estimates of inactivated platform coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines, especially against the globally dominant subvariant - Omicron BA.5. WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT? The study predicts vaccine efficacy against four Omicron subvariants - Omicron BA.1, BA.2, BA.2.12.1, and BA.4/5 - after vaccination with a homologous third dose of CoronaVac across clinical endpoints and age groups. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE? The results suggest that CoronaVac-elicited immunity may not provide adequate protection against Omicron subvariants after the homologous third dose, and a heterologous booster and Omicron-specific vaccination may be alternative strategies.

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