A Retrospective Modeling Study of the Targeted Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions During the Xinfadi Outbreak in the Early Stage of the COVID-19 Pandemic - Beijing, China, 2020

2020年新冠疫情早期新发地疫情期间针对性非药物干预措施的回顾性建模研究——中国北京

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Abstract

WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC? China has repeatedly contained multiple severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreaks through a comprehensive set of targeted non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). However, the effectiveness of such NPIs has not been systematically assessed. WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT? A multilayer deployment of case isolation, contact tracing, targeted community lockdowns, and mobility restrictions could potentially contain outbreaks caused by the SARS-CoV-2 ancestral strain, without the requirement of city-wide lockdowns. Mass testing could further aid in the efficacy and speed of containment. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE? Pursuing containment in a timely fashion at the beginning of the pandemic, before the virus had the opportunity to spread and undergo extensive adaptive evolution, could help in averting an overall pandemic disease burden and be socioeconomically cost-effective.

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