Abstract
BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to reduce the influence of biliary obstruction on carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level (CA19-9) by introducing the CA19-9 level to serum γ-glutamyltransferase (GGT) ratio as an indicator, and ultimately to reveal the correlation between CA19-9/GGT and the prognosis of patients with pancreatic head carcinoma (PHC). METHODS: A total of 339 enrolled patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy for PHC in Beijing ChaoYang Hospital from January 2010 to December 2019 were analyzed retrospectively. The optimal cut-off value, according to which patients were divided into a low-ratio group (Group 1, n=179) and a high-ratio group (Group 2, n=160), was determined by the ROC curve obtained from preoperative CA19-9/GGT and 1-year survival. Through univariate and multivariate analyses, risk factors for postoperative tumor recurrence and long-term survival were screened out among PHC patients. RESULTS: The best cut-off value of CA19-9/GGT was 2.07 (area under the curve=0.567, 95% CI 0.498-0.636). Compared with Group 2, Group 1 had lower CA19-9, and higher GGT, total bilirubin (TB) and lymph-node metastasis rate (P<0.05). The 1-, 2- and 3-year disease-free survival rates of patients in Groups 1 and 2 were 68.2%, 42.5% and 28.2%, and 42.2%, 19.3% and 18.3%, respectively (P=0.000), and the 1-, 2- and 3-year overall survival rates were 79.1%, 50.7% and 29.1%, and 56.7%, 22.2% and 17.2%, respectively (P=0.000). Multivariate analysis showed that CA19-9/GGT, portal system invasion and lymph-node metastasis were independent risk factors for postoperative tumor recurrence and long-term survival among patients with PHC. CONCLUSION: Compared with CA19-9 level alone, CA19-9/GGT plays a more precise role in the evaluation of postoperative tumor recurrence and the long-term prognosis of PHC patients. The lower the ratio, the better the long-term prognosis. The CA19-9/GGT ratio may prove to be a useful biomarker for identifying PHC patients at high risk of early recurrence and unfavorable prognosis.