Abstract
BACKGROUND: About 2.8 million TBI-related emergency department visits, hospitalizations and deaths occurred in 2013 in the United States. Post-traumatic epilepsy (PTE) can be a disabling, life-long outcome of TBI. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study is to address the probability of developing PTE within 9 years after TBI, the risk factors associated with PTE, the prevalence of anti-epileptic drug (AEDs) use, and the effectiveness of using AEDs prophylactically after TBI to prevent the development of PTE. METHODS: Using MarketScan® databases covering commercial, Medicare Supplemental, and multi-state Medicaid enrollees from 2004 to 2014, we examined the incidence of early seizures (within seven days after TBI) and cumulative incidence of PTE, the hazard ratios (HR) of PTE by age, gender, TBI severity, early seizure and AED use (carbamazepine, clonazepam, divalproex sodium, gabapentin, lamotrigine, levetiracetam, oxcarbazepine, phenytoin, pregabalin, topiramate, acetazolamide). We used backward selection to build the final Cox proportional hazard model and conducted multivariable survival analysis to obtain estimates of crude and adjusted HR (cHRs, aHRs) of PTE and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: The incidence of early seizure among TBI patients in our study was 0.5%. The cumulative incidence of PTE increased from 1.0% in one year to 4.0% in nine years. Most patients with TBI (93%) were not prescribed any AED. Gender was not associated with PTE. The risk of PTE was higher for individuals with older age, early seizures, and more severe TBI. Only individuals using prophylactic acetazolamide had significantly lower risk of PTE (aHR = 0.6, CI 0.4-0.9) compared to those not using any AED. CONCLUSION: The probability of developing PTE increased within the study period. The risk of developing PTE significantly increased with age, early seizure and TBI severity. Most of the individuals did not receive AED after TBI. There was no evidence suggesting AEDs helped to prevent PTE with the possible exception of acetazolamide. However, further studies may be needed to test the efficacy of acetazolamide in preventing PTE.