Risk Assessment of Import Cold Chain Logistics Based on Entropy Weight Matter Element Extension Model: A Case Study of Shanghai, China

基于熵重物质元素扩展模型的进口冷链物流风险评估:以中国上海为例

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Abstract

The development of world trade and fresh-keeping technology has led to the rapid development of international cold chain logistics. However, the novel coronavirus epidemic continues to spread around the world at the present stage, which challenges disease transmission control and safety supervision of international cold chain logistics. Constructing an Import Cold Chain Logistics Safety Supervision System (ICCL-SSS) is helpful for detecting and controlling disease import risk. This paper constructs an evaluation index system of ICCL safety that comprehensively considers the potential risk factors of three ICCL processes: the logistics process in port, the customs clearance process, and the logistics process from port to door. The risk level of ICCL-SSS is evaluated by combining the Extension Decision-making Model and the Entropy Weight Method. The case study of Shanghai, China, the world's largest city of ICCL, shows that the overall risk level of ICCL-SSS in Shanghai is at a moderate level. However, the processes of loading and unloading, inspection and quarantine, disinfection and sterilization, and cargo storage are at high risk specifically. The construction and risk assessment of ICCL-SSS can provide theoretical support and practical guidance for improving the safety supervision ability of ICCL regulation in the post-epidemic era, and helps the local government to scientifically formulate ICCL safety administration policies and accelerate the development of world cold chain trade.

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