Predictive ability of a comprehensive incremental test in mountain bike marathon

山地自行车马拉松综合递增测试的预测能力

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Abstract

OBJECTIVES: Traditional performance tests in mountain bike marathon (XCM) primarily quantify aerobic metabolism and may not describe the relevant capacities in XCM. We aimed to validate a comprehensive test protocol quantifying its intermittent demands. METHODS: Forty-nine athletes (38.8±9.1 years; 38 male; 11 female) performed a laboratory performance test, including an incremental test, to determine individual anaerobic threshold (IAT), peak power output (PPO) and three maximal efforts (10 s all-out sprint, 1 min maximal effort and 5 min maximal effort). Within 2 weeks, the athletes participated in one of three XCM races (n=15, n=9 and n=25). Correlations between test variables and race times were calculated separately. In addition, multiple regression models of the predictive value of laboratory outcomes were calculated for race 3 and across all races (z-transformed data). RESULTS: All variables were correlated with race times 1, 2 and 3: 10 s all-out sprint (r=-0.72; r=-0.59; r=-0.61), 1 min maximal effort (r=-0.85; r=-0.84; r=-0.82), 5 min maximal effort (r=-0.57; r=-0.85; r=-0.76), PPO (r=-0.77; r=-0.73; r=-0.76) and IAT (r=-0.71; r=-0.67; r=-0.68). The best-fitting multiple regression models for race 3 (r(2)=0.868) and across all races (r(2)=0.757) comprised 1 min maximal effort, IAT and body weight. CONCLUSION: Aerobic and intermittent variables correlated least strongly with race times. Their use in a multiple regression model confirmed additional explanatory power to predict XCM performance. These findings underline the usefulness of the comprehensive incremental test to predict performance in that sport more precisely.

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