Abstract
BACKGROUND: Human epidermal growth factor receptor2+ subtype breast cancer has a high degree of malignancy and a poor prognosis. The aim of this study is to develop a prediction model for the human epidermal growth factor receptor2+ subtype (non-luminal) of breast cancer based on the clinical and ultrasound features related with estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, and human epidermal growth factor receptor2. METHODS: We collected clinical data and reviewed preoperative ultrasound images of enrolled breast cancers from September 2017 to August 2020. We divided the data into in three groups as follows. Group I: estrogen receptor ± , Group II: progesterone receptor ± and Group III: human epidermal growth factor receptor2 ± . Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the clinical and ultrasound features related with biomarkers among these groups. A model to predict human epidermal growth factor receptor2+ subtype was then developed based on the results of multivariate regression analyses, and the efficacy was evaluated using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity. RESULTS: The human epidermal growth factor receptor2+ subtype accounted for 138 cases (11.8%) in the training set and 51 cases (10.1%) in the test set. In the multivariate regression analysis, age ≤ 50 years was an independent predictor of progesterone receptor + (p = 0.007), and posterior enhancement was a negative predictor of progesterone receptor + (p = 0.013) in Group II; palpable axillary lymph node, round, irregular shape and calcifications were independent predictors of the positivity for human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 in Group III (p = 0.001, p = 0.007, p = 0.010, p < 0.001, respectively). In Group I, shape was the only factor related to estrogen receptor status in the univariate analysis (p < 0.05). The area under receiver operating characteristic curve, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity of the model to predict human epidermal growth factor receptor2+ subtype breast cancer was 0.697, 60.14%, 72.46%, 58.49% and 0.725, 72.06%, 64.71%, 72.89% in the training and test sets, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our study established a model to predict the human epidermal growth factor receptor2-positive subtype with moderate performance. And the results demonstrated that clinical and ultrasound features were significantly associated with biomarkers.