Abstract
AIM: We aimed to demonstrate the independent effect of mean arterial pressure (MAP) on incident nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among the nonobese Chinese with normal low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels. METHODS: 16,153 nonobese participants without NAFLD at baseline were enrolled and then assigned to four groups by quartiles of MAP (Q1-Q4). A subgroup analysis by gender was also conducted. Participants were diagnosed with NAFLD by ultrasonography. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 2.80 years, the cumulative incidence of NAFLD was 14.37 and the incidence rate was 513.17 per 10,000 person-years. The cumulative incidence of NAFLD for the whole population or gender groups gradually increased with the quartiles of MAP (all P < 0.001). In the Q4 of MAP, the cumulative incidence of NAFLD for the whole population, male, and female reached up to 6.22 (5.75-6.70), 6.70 (6.21-7.19), and 5.69 (5.24-6.14), respectively. After adjustment for potential confounders, as compared with Q1, the hazard ratio for NAFLD was 1.328 (1.072-1.647), 1.625 (1.276-2.069), and 1.697 (1.231-2.340) for Q2, Q3, and Q4, respectively. In subgroup analysis, the respective hazard ratio for NAFLD in Q2, Q3, and Q4 of MAP was 1.760 (1.276-2.429), 2.080 (1.433-3.019), and 2.377 (1.452-3.890), compared with female in the Q1 of MAP. But MAP was not associated with incident NAFLD in male. Besides, MAP had a larger area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves than SBP or DBP, with optimal cutoff point of 88 mmHg in male and 89 mmHg in female. CONCLUSIONS: MAP is an independent predictor for incident NAFLD among nonobese female with normal LDL levels.