Impact of COVID-19 containment and closure policies on tropospheric nitrogen dioxide: A global perspective

COVID-19 防控和封锁政策对对流层二氧化氮的影响:全球视角

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Abstract

The containment and closure policies adopted in attempts to contain the spread of the 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) have impacted nearly every aspect of our lives including the environment we live in. These influences may be observed when evaluating changes in pollutants such as nitrogen dioxide (NO(2)), which is an important indicator for economic, industrial, and other anthropogenic activities. We utilized a data-driven approach to analyze the relationship between tropospheric NO(2) and COVID-19 mitigation measures by clustering regions based on pollution levels rather than constraining the study units by predetermined administrative boundaries as pollution knows no borders. Specifically, three clusters were discovered signifying mild, moderate, and poor pollution levels. The most severely polluted cluster saw significant reductions in tropospheric NO(2), coinciding with lockdown periods. Based on the clustering results, qualitative and quantitative analyses were conducted at global and regional levels to investigate the spatiotemporal changes. In addition, panel regression analysis was utilized to quantify the impact of policy measures on the NO(2) reduction. This study found that a 23.58 score increase in the stringency index (ranging from 0 to 100) can significantly reduce the NO(2) TVCD by 3.2% (p < 0.05) in the poor cluster in 2020, which corresponds to a 13.1% maximum reduction with the most stringent containment and closure policies implemented. In addition, the policy measures of workplace closures and close public transport can significantly decrease the tropospheric NO(2) in the poor cluster by 6.7% (p < 0.1) and 4.5% (p < 0.1), respectively. An additional heterogeneity analysis found that areas with higher incomes, CO(2) emissions, and fossil fuel consumption have larger NO(2) TVCD reductions regarding workplace closures and public transport closures.

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