Abstract
BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality and although it is linked to sleep apnea, which physiological stressors most strongly associate with incident disease is unclear. We tested whether sleep apnea-specific hypoxic burden (SASHB) predicts incident HF in two independent cohort studies. RESEARCH QUESTION: In comparison with apnea-hypopnea index (AHI), how does sleep apnea-specific hypoxic burden predict incident HF? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: The samples were derived from two cohort studies: The Sleep Heart Health Study (SHHS), which included 4,881 middle-aged and older adults (54.4% women), age 63.6 ± 11.1 years; and the Outcomes of Sleep Disorders in Older Men (MrOS), which included 2,653 men, age 76.2 ± 5.4 years. We computed SASHB as the sleep apnea-specific area under the desaturation curve from pre-event baseline. We used Cox models for incident HF to estimate the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for natural log-transformed SASHB and AHI adjusting for multiple confounders. RESULTS: The SASHB predicted incident HF in men in both cohorts, whereas AHI did not. Men in SHHS and MrOS had adjusted HRs (per 1SD increase in SASHB) of 1.18 (95% CI, 1.02-1.37) and 1.22 (95% CI, 1.02-1.45), respectively. Associations with SASHB were observed in men with both low and high AHI levels. Associations were not significant in women. INTERPRETATION: In men, the hypoxic burden of sleep apnea was associated with incident HF after accounting for demographic factors, smoking, and co-morbidities. The findings Suggest that quantification of an easily measured index of sleep apnea-related hypoxias may be useful for identifying individuals at risk for heart disease, while also suggesting targets for intervention.