A new formula for calculating normal tissue complication probability

计算正常组织并发症概率的新公式

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Abstract

PURPOSE: To facilitate the use of quantitative modeling of biological effects in treatment planning by introducing a simpler function equivalent to the Lyman formula for calculating normal tissue complication probability (NTCP). METHODS: We first provide an approximation of the Lyman-Kutcher-Burman (LKB) formula using three parameters (n, m, TD(50)) as a function of equivalent uniform dose (EUD). The parameters for the new formula are defined in terms of the Lyman model's m and TD(50). Conversely, m and TD(50) are expressed in terms of the parameters of the new equation. The role of the Lyman volume-effect parameter n remains unchanged from its role in the Lyman model. RESULTS: The new formula, which exhibits a sigmoidal shape, demonstrates symmetry about TD(50), akin to the LKB model. The difference in NTCP between the two formulas is less than 0.1%. The parameters (n, m, TD(50)) are preserved through rigorous mathematical deduction and have been recalibrated to the tolerance data of Emani et al. using the proposed formula. This new model provides a better fit to these data than the model by Burman et al., which was fitted "by eye" rather than using statistical methods. CONCLUSION: We have developed a formula that represents NTCP as a function of EUD, which proves to be potentially useful. The parameters derived in this study are mathematically robust and offer a superior fit to the data compared to previous efforts. Additionally, the new model fits brain data as well as, if not better than, the LKB model.

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