Abstract
OBJECTIVE: An important clinical question is whether the use of immunosuppressants or corticosteroids increases the risk of incident COVID-19 disease among patients with SLE. To address this question, we examined the incidence of COVID-19 infection in a large SLE cohort. METHODS: This study was based on a single-centre cohort of patients with SLE seen quarterly from March 2020 to August 2022. Clinical information from these visits was augmented with information on COVID-19 infections and vaccinations obtained from the electronic medical records and by patient self-report. We compared treated and untreated patients with respect to the incidence of COVID-19 infection per person month. Statistical significance was assessed based on logistic regression models. RESULTS: We observed 339 incident cases of COVID-19 experienced over 24 614 person-months of follow-up from 1052 different patients. The risk of infection per person-month of follow-up was similar among those not on prednisone (1.37%), on moderate doses of prednisone (<7 mg/day) (1.44%) and those on higher doses (1.52%) (p=0.87 for difference). We observed an elevated risk among those taking belimumab, however, after adjustment for potential confounding variables, the increased risk was not statistically significant (rate ratio 1.4, 95% CI 0.88 to 2.24, p=0.16) There was no evidence of an increased risk among those taking mycophenolate, methotrexate or azathioprine. CONCLUSION: It is reassuring that there was not strong evidence of an increased risk of infection among those taking prednisone or other immunosuppressants. However, given the range of our CIs, moderate effects of these medications on COVID-19 risk cannot be completely ruled out.