Abstract
The 2022 European LeukemiaNet (ELN) updated the previous risk classification published in 2017 but the prognostic significance for allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) remains unclear. We enrolled 600 acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients who underwent allo-HSCT to validate ELN-2022 genetic risk system and compared it with ELN-2017. There were 214 (35.67%), 162 (27.0%), and 224 (37.33%) patients in ELN-2022 favorable-, intermediate-, and adverse-risk group respectively and 86 patients (14.33%) experienced a shift in risk stratification compared to ELN-2017. Median and maximum follow-up time were 2.89 (95% CI 2.67 to 3.03) years and 8.78 years. The median overall survival (OS) was 73.8% (95% CI 67.5% to 80.3%), 63.9% (95% CI 56.7% to 72.0%) and 57.6% (95% CI 50.4% to 65.9%) in ELN-2022 favorable-, intermediate-, and adverse-risk group (P < 0.001). OS shortened significantly as the ELN-2022 risk stratification increased but didn't significantly in ELN-2017 intermediate-risk compared to favorable-risk. Both ELN-2022 and ELN-2017 adverse-risk were associated with increased cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed that both ELN-2017 and ELN-2022 risk systems had limited prognostic ability for OS. We modified ELN-2022 risk system with pre-transplant minimal residual disease (MRD) and the modified risk system performed a significantly superior efficacy to ELN-2022 system.