Predictive performance of two types of urinary biomarkers for renal non-recovery in sepsis-associated acute kidney injury: a prospective observational study

两种尿液生物标志物对脓毒症相关急性肾损伤肾功能不恢复的预测性能:一项前瞻性观察研究

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作者:Licheng, Huimiao Jia, Yijia Jiang, Wenxiong Li

Background and purpose

Renal non-recovery is known to have negative prognostic implications in patients suffering from acute kidney injury (AKI). Nevertheless, the identification of biomarkers for predicting renal non-recovery in sepsis-associated AKI (SA-AKI) within clinical settings remains unresolved. This study aims to evaluate and compare the predictive ability for renal non-recovery, use of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), and 30-day mortality after SA-AKI by two urinary biomarkers, namely C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 (CCL14) and [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7].

Conclusion

Urinary CCL14 had excellent predictive value for renal non-recovery in SA-AKI patients. For predicting the use of KRT in the ICU, the predictive capability of urinary [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] or CCL14 was fair. However, a combination of [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] and CCL14 showed good predictive ability for the use of KRT.

Methods

We prospectively screened adult patients who met the criteria for AKI stage 2-3 and Sepsis-3.0 in two ICUs from January 2019 to May 2022. Patients who developed new-onset SA-AKI after ICU admission were enrolled and urinary biomarkers including [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] and CCL14 were detected at the time of SA-AKI diagnosis. The primary endpoint was non-recovery from SA-AKI within 7 days. The secondary endpoints were the use of KRT in the ICU and 30-day mortality after SA-AKI. The individual discriminative ability of [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] and CCL14 to predict renal non-recovery were evaluated by the area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC).

Purpose

Renal non-recovery is known to have negative prognostic implications in patients suffering from acute kidney injury (AKI). Nevertheless, the identification of biomarkers for predicting renal non-recovery in sepsis-associated AKI (SA-AKI) within clinical settings remains unresolved. This study aims to evaluate and compare the predictive ability for renal non-recovery, use of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), and 30-day mortality after SA-AKI by two urinary biomarkers, namely C-C motif chemokine ligand 14 (CCL14) and [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7].

Results

141 patients with stage 2-3 SA-AKI were finally included, among whom 54 (38.3%) experienced renal non-recovery. Urinary CCL14 exhibited a higher predictive capability for renal non-recovery compared to [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7], with CCL14 showing an AUC of 0.901, versus an AUC of 0.730 for [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] (P = 0.001). Urinary CCL14 and [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] demonstrated a moderate predictive value for the need for KRT in ICU, with AUC values of 0.794 and 0.725, respectively; The AUC of [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] combined with CCL14 reached up to 0.816. Urinary CCL14 and [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] exhibited poor predictive power for 30-day mortality, with respective AUC values of 0.623 and 0.593.

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