Retrogressive thaw slumping (RTS) is a mass-wasting process characterized by upslope backwasting and rapid thawing of ice-rich permafrost. High-resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) from ArcticDEM enable the volumetric and soil organic carbon quantification of medium to large disturbance areas undergoing RTS (ââ¥10,000âm(2)) for the Northern Hemisphere. Using DEM time-series analysis and deep learning, we retrieve a total of 2747 disturbance areas undergoing active RTS with a total volume loss of (317.0â±â0.3)âÃâ10(6â)m(3) between 2012 and 2022. Here we show that climatic drivers of RTS activity exhibit latitudinal and regional variations, specifically, the number of precipitation-driven RTS decreases linearly as latitudes increase, whereas temperature-driven RTS increases sharply. Finally, we estimate that 96% of detected RTS thawed ~1.95âÃâ10(-3) Pg carbon per year, equivalent to ~0.2% of annual gradual thaw emission estimates. Our results highlight the complexity of regional RTS dynamics and the importance of high resolution, long-term monitoring efforts.
Volumetric quantifications and dynamics of areas undergoing retrogressive thaw slumping in the Northern Hemisphere.
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作者:Dai Chunli, Ward Jones Melissa K, van der Sluijs Jurjen, Nesterova Nina, Howat Ian M, Liljedahl Anna K, Higman Bretwood, Freymueller Jeffrey T, Kokelj Steven V, Sriram Sindhura
| 期刊: | Nature Communications | 影响因子: | 15.700 |
| 时间: | 2025 | 起止号: | 2025 Jul 23; 16(1):6795 |
| doi: | 10.1038/s41467-025-62017-0 | ||
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