Development of a prediction model integrating PD-1 and ICOS for early differential diagnosis between autoimmune and viral encephalitis

开发整合PD-1和ICOS的预测模型,用于早期鉴别自身免疫性脑炎和病毒性脑炎

阅读:10
作者:Kaiyue Xu # ,Jinjing Jia # ,Yinghui Duan ,Shuying Chen ,Xinyi Xiao ,Feng Zhu ,Xin Wang ,Yanzheng Gu ,Jingluan Tian ,Qun Xue

Abstract

Background: Early diagnosis and treatment for encephalitis are crucial for improving patient outcomes and reducing the economic burden, especially given the overlapping symptoms and low specificity of auxiliary diagnostic tests between viral encephalitis (VE) and autoimmune encephalitis (AE). Since these two conditions require different treatment approaches, an early differential diagnosis between AE and VE is a critical challenge. Methods: This study enrolled a cohort of 75 patients (38 with VE and 37 with AE) between September 2022 and July 2024. The demographic data, clinical characteristics, and laboratory test results were collected. The expression levels of co-stimulatory molecules were detected by flow cytometry and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay within 7 days for viral encephalitis and 90 days for autoimmune encephalitis in the early phase of the disease. Differential analysis, logistic regression analysis, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were employed for model construction. Finally, a nomogram and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were developed to visualize the model and evaluate its predictive accuracy. Results: Upon analyzing the collected data, a model for the early differential diagnosis between AE and VE was eventually established. This comprehensive model incorporated 10 variables: serum creatinine and chloride levels, the percentage of peripheral blood CD4+ICOS+ and CD19+PD-L1+, plasma soluble inducible costimulatory ligand (sICOSL), cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) glucose content, and the presence of fever, nausea, vomiting, headaches, and cognitive impairment. Patients with creatinine <60.75 (μmol/L), chloride <106.25 (mmol/L), CD4+ICOS+ ≥11.2%, CD19+PD-L1+ ≥12.35%, plasma sICOSL≥286.37 ng/mL, CSF sugar content ≥3.775 (mmol/L), and those with cognitive impairment are more likely to be diagnosed with AE. The area under the curve (AUC)-ROC of our model was 0.942 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.887-0.997], with a sensitivity of 0.844 and a specificity of 0.971, indicating strong diagnostic performance. Conclusion: This diagnostic model offers a convenient tool for distinguishing AE from VE in the early phase, facilitating early diagnosis and treatment, improving patient prognosis, and reducing financial burdens.

特别声明

1、本页面内容包含部分的内容是基于公开信息的合理引用;引用内容仅为补充信息,不代表本站立场。

2、若认为本页面引用内容涉及侵权,请及时与本站联系,我们将第一时间处理。

3、其他媒体/个人如需使用本页面原创内容,需注明“来源:[生知库]”并获得授权;使用引用内容的,需自行联系原作者获得许可。

4、投稿及合作请联系:info@biocloudy.com。