Abstract
BACKGROUND: Results from national surveys indicate that many older adults reported delayed medical care during the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, yet few studies have used objective data to characterize healthcare utilization among vulnerable older adults in that period. In this study, we characterized healthcare utilization during the acute pandemic phase (March 7-October 6, 2020) and examined risk factors for total disruption of care among older adults with multiple chronic conditions (MCC) in New York City. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used electronic health record data from NYC patients aged ≥ 50 years with a diagnosis of either hypertension or diabetes and at least one other chronic condition seen within six months prior to pandemic onset and after the acute pandemic period at one of several major academic medical centers contributing to the NYC INSIGHT clinical research network (n=276,383). We characterized patients by baseline (pre-pandemic) health status using cutoffs of systolic blood pressure (SBP) < 140mmHg and hemoglobin A1C (HbA1c) < 8.0% as: controlled (below both cutoffs), moderately uncontrolled (below one), or poorly controlled (above both, SBP > 160, HbA1C > 9.0%). Patients were then assessed for total disruption versus some care during shutdown using recommended care schedules per baseline health status. We identified independent predictors for total disruption using logistic regression, including age, sex, race/ethnicity, baseline health status, neighborhood poverty, COVID infection, number of chronic conditions, and quartile of prior healthcare visits. RESULTS: Among patients, 52.9% were categorized as controlled at baseline, 31.4% moderately uncontrolled, and 15.7% poorly controlled. Patients with poor baseline control were more likely to be older, female, non-white and from higher poverty neighborhoods than controlled patients (P < 0.001). Having fewer pre-pandemic healthcare visits was associated with total disruption during the acute pandemic period (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 8.61, 95% Confidence Interval [CI], 8.30-8.93, comparing lowest to highest quartile). Other predictors of total disruption included self-reported Asian race, and older age. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified patient groups at elevated risk for care disruption. Targeted outreach strategies during crises using prior healthcare utilization patterns and disease management measures from disease registries may improve care continuity.