Pancreatic Cyst Fluid Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor A and Carcinoembryonic Antigen: A Highly Accurate Test for the Diagnosis of Serous Cystic Neoplasm

Accurate differentiation of pancreatic cystic lesions is important for pancreatic cancer early detection and prevention as well as avoidance of unnecessary surgical intervention. Serous cystic neoplasms (SCN) have no malignant potential, but may mimic premalignant mucinous cystic lesions: mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN) and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). We recently identified vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)-A as a novel pancreatic fluid biomarker for SCN. We hypothesize that combining cyst fluid carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) with VEGF-A will improve the diagnostic accuracy of VEGF-A.

Although VEGF-A alone is a highly accurate test for SCN, the combination of VEGF-A with CEA approaches the gold-standard of pathologic diagnosis, thus importantly avoiding false positives. Patients with a positive test indicating benign SCN can be spared a high risk surgical pancreatic resection.

Pancreatic cyst/duct fluid was collected from consenting patients undergoing surgical cyst resection with corresponding pathologic diagnoses. Pancreatic fluid VEGF-A and CEA levels were detected by ELISA.

One hundred forty-nine patients with pancreatic cystic lesions met inclusion criteria. Pathologic diagnoses included pseudocyst (n=14), SCN (n=26), MCN (n=40), low/moderate grade IPMN (n=34), high grade IPMN (n=20), invasive IPMN (n=10) and solid pseudopapillary neoplasm (n=5). VEGF-A was significantly elevated in SCN cyst fluid compared to all other diagnoses (p<0.001). With a threshold of >5,000 pg/ml, VEGF-A alone has 100% sensitivity and 83.7% specificity to distinguish SCN from other cystic lesions. With a threshold of ≤10ng/ml, CEA alone identifies SCN with 95.5% sensitivity and 81.5% specificity. Sensitivity and specificity of the VEGF-A/CEA combination are 95.5% and 100% respectively. The c-statistic increased from 0.98 to 0.99 when CEA was added to VEGF-A alone in the ROC analysis. Conclusions: Although VEGF-A alone is a highly accurate test for SCN, the combination of VEGF-A with CEA approaches the gold-standard of pathologic diagnosis, thus importantly avoiding false positives. Patients with a positive test indicating benign SCN can be spared a high risk surgical pancreatic resection.