Abstract
BACKGROUND: Coronary collateral circulation (CCC) significantly impacts myocardial perfusion and clinical outcomes in coronary artery disease patients, yet the underlying molecular heterogeneity remains inadequately characterized. OBJECTIVE: To identify distinct molecular phenotypes in patients with poor CCC, validate these phenotypes using clinical parameters, and evaluate their prognostic implications. METHODS: This study enrolled 149 patients (80 with good CCC and 69 with poor CCC) for high-throughput proteomic profiling. Unsupervised consensus clustering identified molecular subtypes within poor CCC patients, followed by differential expression analysis and KEGG pathway enrichment. Boruta feature selection was implemented, and multiple machine learning algorithms were tested on clinical data, with XGBoost optimization (accuracy 80.0%, F1-score 80.31%) and SHAP value interpretation. External validation was performed using the MIMIC database. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression models assessed major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). RESULTS: Two distinct phenotypes emerged among poor CCC patients: Cluster 1 (n = 39, Complement-Driven Vascular Remodeling [CDVR]) and Cluster 2 (n = 30, Immuno-Thrombotic Myocardial Dysfunction [ITMD]). An XGBoost model incorporating fasting glucose, eosinophil percentage, and HbA1c achieved excellent discrimination (AUC > 0.91). External validation confirmed the phenotype-specific clinical patterns. Notably, Cluster 2 demonstrated significantly higher MACE incidence compared to Cluster 1 (Log-rank p < 0.05), with KEGG analysis revealing significant upregulation of platelet activation, diabetic cardiomyopathy, and metabolic pathways in the ITMD phenotype. CONCLUSION: Poor CCC encompasses distinct immune-metabolic phenotypes that can be accurately classified using integrated proteomic-clinical modeling. This classification enables more precise risk stratification and may guide personalized therapeutic strategies for coronary artery disease patients with inadequate collateralization.