Abstract
BACKGROUND: Predicting functional recovery after ischemic stroke is vital for guiding clinical care. This study investigated whether lesion network mapping (LNM), a technique for modeling symptom-specific brain networks, can improve outcome prediction of functional recovery up to one-year post-stroke. METHODS: We pooled data from two prospective stroke cohorts (1000Plus and PROSCIS-B; N = 565). Seven NIHSS-derived symptom networks were generated using LNM based on NIHSS sub-scores on admission (i.e., consciousness, language, motor, sensory, vision, neglect and ataxia). Lesion masks derived from MRI (within 7 days) were intersected with each symptom network to calculate individual network damage scores. Functional outcome was defined by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 3 months (1000Plus) or 12 months (PROSCIS-B). Ordinal logistic regression models were performed to evaluate additional predictive value of LNM: Model 1 included age, lesion volume, and presence of selected neurological deficits; Model 2 included age, lesion volume, and NIHSS-derived network damage scores. Models were compared using pseudo-R(2) and AIC. RESULTS: Patients had a mean age of 68 years and a median NIHSS of 3 (IQR 1-5). LNM revealed distinct, symptom-specific networks, with corresponding damage scores that were higher in patients exhibiting the respective deficits compared to those without. However, inclusion of these scores did not enhance the predictive accuracy of functional outcomes beyond that achieved with clinical variables alone (Model 1 vs. Model 2: pseudo-R(2): 0.0468 vs. 0.0159; AIC:1730.598 vs. 1769.222). CONCLUSIONS: LNM-derived scores reflected symptom topography but did not enhance prediction of functional recovery. While promising as a mechanistic tool, the clinical utility of LNM-based damage metrics for prognostication remains limited and requires further validation.