Abstract
PURPOSE: Despite generally favorable outcomes, 15% to 25% of patients with human papillomavirus (HPV)-driven oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) will have recurrence. Current posttreatment surveillance practices rely on physical examinations and imaging and are inconsistently applied. We assessed circulating tumor tissue modified viral (TTMV)-HPV DNA obtained during routine posttreatment surveillance among a large population of real-world patients. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: This retrospective clinical case series included 1,076 consecutive patients across 108 U.S. sites who were ≥ 3 months posttreatment for HPV-driven OPSCC and who had one or more TTMV-HPV DNA tests (NavDx, Naveris Laboratories) obtained during surveillance between February 6, 2020, and June 29, 2021. Test results were compared with subsequent clinical evaluations. RESULTS: Circulating TTMV-HPV DNA was positive in 80 of 1,076 (7.4%) patients, with follow-up available on all. At first positive surveillance testing, 21 of 80 (26%) patients had known recurrence while 59 of 80 (74%) patients were not known to have recurrent disease. Among these 59 patients, 55 (93%) subsequently had a confirmed recurrence, 2 patients had clinically suspicious lesions, and 2 had clinically "no evidence of disease" (NED) at last follow-up. To date, the overall positive predictive value of TTMV-HPV DNA testing for recurrent disease is 95% (N = 76/80). In addition, the point-in-time negative predictive value is 95% (N = 1,198/1,256). CONCLUSIONS: These findings highlight the clinical potential for circulating TTMV-HPV DNA testing in routine practice. As a surveillance tool, TTMV-HPV DNA positivity was the first indication of recurrence in the majority of cases, pre-dating identification by routine clinical and imaging exams. These data may inform future clinical and guideline-endorsed strategies for HPV-driven malignancy surveillance. See related commentary by Colevas, p. 4171.