Sarcopenia predicts an adverse prognosis in patients with combined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma after surgery

肌少症预示着合并肝细胞癌和胆管癌患者术后预后不良。

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of sarcopenia in combined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CC) patients after surgery has not been evaluated, while the efficacy of the available tumor stage for cHCC-CC remains controversial. METHODS: All consecutive cHCC-CC patients after surgery were retrieved. The patients were stratified by the sex-specific medians of the psoas muscle index into groups with or without sarcopenia. Prognosis was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method, and the K-M curves were adjusted by inverse probability weighting (IPW). A nomogram based on Cox regression analysis was established and further compared with primary liver cancer (PLC) stages by internal validation based on bootstrap resampling and k-fold cross-validation. RESULTS: A total of 153 patients were stratified into sarcopenia and non-sarcopenia groups. The sarcopenia group revealed statistically worse overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) using the K-M method and K-M curves adjusted by IPW. Multivariate Cox regression analyses suggested sarcopenia as an independent risk factor for OS (HR = 1.55; p = 0.040) and DFS (HR = 1.55; p = 0.019). Subgroup analysis based on baseline variables showed sarcopenia as a stable risk factor for the prognosis. Our nomogram outperformed PLC stages in prognostic prediction, as evidenced by the best c-index, area under the curve, and positive improvement of the net reclassification index and integrated discrimination improvement. A fivefold cross-validation revealed consistent results. Decision curve analysis revealed higher net benefits of the nomogram than PLC stages. CONCLUSIONS: Sarcopenia is an independent and stable risk factor for the prognosis of cHCC-CC patients after surgery. Our nomogram might aid high-risk patient identification and clinical decisions.

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