Frequent fragility of randomized controlled trials for HCC treatment

肝细胞癌治疗随机对照试验经常存在缺陷

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: The fragility index (FI) of trial results can provide a measure of confidence in the positive effects reported in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The aim of this study was to calculate the FI of RCTs supporting HCC treatments. METHODS: A methodological systematic review of RCTs in HCC treatments was conducted. Two-arm studies with randomized and positive results for a time-to-event outcome were eligible for the FI calculation. RESULTS: A total of 6 trails were included in this analysis. The median FI was 0.5 (IQR 0-10). FI was ≤7 in 4 (66.7%) of 6 trials; in those trials the fragility quotient was ≤1%. CONCLUSION: Many phase 3 RCTs supporting HCC treatments have a low FI, which challenges the confidence in concluding the superiority of these drugs over control treatments.

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