Abstract
BACKGROUND: Emerging evidence links air pollution to respiratory infections, yet systematic assessments in cold regions remain limited. This study evaluates the short-term effects of six major air pollutants on influenza-like illness (ILI) incidence in Changchun, Northeast China, with implications for air quality management and respiratory disease prevention. METHODS: ILI surveillance data from Changchun were extracted from "China Influenza Surveillance Network" and the ambient air quality monitoring data of the city were collected from 2017 to 2022. A generalized additive model (GAM) with quasi-Poisson regression analysis was employed to quantify pollutant-ILI associations, adjusting for meteorological factors and temporal trends. RESULTS: Among 84,010 ILI cases, immediate exposure effects were observed: each 10 µg/m³ increase in PM(2.5) (ER = 1.00%, 95% CI: 0.63-1.37%), PM(10) (0.90%, 0.57-1.24%), and O(3) (1.05%, 0.44-1.67%) significantly elevated ILI risks. Young and middle-aged individuals (25-59 years old) exhibited the highest susceptibility to five pollutants (PM(2.5), PM(10), SO(2), O(3), and CO), and age subgroups under 15 years old exhibited susceptibility to NO(2). Post-COVID-19 outbreak showed amplified effects across all pollutants (p < 0.05 vs. pre-outbreak). The effects of PM(2.5), PM(10), SO(2) and O(3) on ILI cases were greater in the cold season (October to March) (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: PM(2.5), PM(10), and O(3) exposure significantly increases ILI risks in Changchun, particularly among young/middle-aged populations during cold seasons and post-pandemic periods. These findings underscore the urgency for real-time air quality alerts and targeted protection strategies during high-risk periods to mitigate respiratory health burdens.