Abstract
BACKGROUND: To prioritize the introducing of new vaccines into China's National Immunization Program (NIP) among 10 candidate vaccines across four classes. METHODS: We developed a vaccine value framework using Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) to simulate the introduction of new vaccines into NIP, covering 21 criteria encompassing six dimensions: safety, effectiveness, economy, innovation, accessibility, and appropriateness. Two decision scenarios were considered: Scenario One prioritized the four classes of vaccines, while Scenario Two identified specific vaccines within each class. RESULTS: In the vaccine value framework, safety received the highest weight, while innovation received the lowest. The Human Papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine was identified as a top priority for inclusion in NIP, followed by Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV), Haemophilus Influenzae Type B (HIB), and Rotavirus (RV) vaccines. The specific types are domestic bivalent HPV vaccine, imported 13-valent PCV vaccine, domestic HIB vaccine, and domestic RV vaccine. The results of the one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated robustness. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides a transparent, comprehensive, and quantifiable vaccine value framework to aid decision-making for introducing new vaccines into China's NIP. According to the MCDA results, HPV should be considered the top vaccine candidate for the NIP.