Abstract
BACKGROUND: The study focuses on the effect of temperature and relative humidity on hospitalization for acute lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) in children, respectively. METHODS: In this study, the Distributed Lag Nonlinear Model (DLNM) based on quasi-Poisson distribution was used to investigate the effect of temperature and relative humidity on LRTI hospitalization in children, and subgroup analyses were conducted to identify sensitive populations by gender and age. RESULTS: A total of 43,951 children were hospitalized for LRTI from 1 January 2014 to 31 December 2019 in Lanzhou. The mean temperature during the study period was 11.34 °C and the mean relative humidity was 51.03%. With reference to the median temperature of 12.7 °C during the study period, both low (-4.1 °C) and high (25.43 °C) temperature had a detrimental effect on LRTI hospitalization, and the maximum effect was reached at lag0-10 and lag0-9, respectively, with RR values of 1.645 (95%CI: 1.533, 1.764) and 1.098 (95%CI: 1.018, 1.184). With a reference to the median relative humidity of 51.17% during the study period, both low relative humidity (26.71%) and high relative humidity (76.70%, P95) had a detrimental effect on LRTI hospitalization, and the maximum effect was reached at lag0-21 and lag21, respectively, with RR values of 1.235 (95% CI: 1.163, 1.311) and 1.044 (95% CI: 1.036, 1.051). The results of subgroup analyses showed that changes in meteorological factors had a stronger effect on Female and children aged 5-14 years. CONCLUSIONS: The meteorological factors all have different degrees of influence on LRTI hospitalization in children. Girls and the children aged 5-14 years are more sensitive. Attention to these meteorological risks can inform targeted interventions.