Abstract
IMPORTANCE: Plant-based diets are increasing in popularity due, in part, to their health benefits for selected cardiometabolic diseases as well as favorable environmental impact. Little is known about how such a diet is related to gout risk. OBJECTIVE: To examine associations between adherence to a plant-based diet (including healthy and unhealthy versions of this diet), as well as its 18 individual food groups, and incident gout. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective cohort study used data from population-based cohorts of US men and women enrolled in the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (1986-2012) and Nurses' Health Study (1984-2010). Participants were men and women free of gout at baseline. Statistical analyses were performed over March 2020 to August 2023. EXPOSURES: An overall plant-based diet index (PDI), as well as healthy (hPDI) and unhealthy (uPDI) versions of this index that emphasize healthy and less healthy plant-based foods, respectively. These diet indices were comprised of 18 food groups, assessed using a validated semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Incident cases of gout that were confirmed with a supplementary questionnaire to meet the preliminary American College of Rheumatology survey criteria for gout. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate multivariable-adjusted associations of all 3 PDIs with incident gout using quintiles (Q) of adherence. RESULTS: Among a total of 122 679 participants (mean [SD] age, 53.8 [9.8] years among 43 703 men; mean [SD] age, 50.9 [7.2] years among 78 976 women) over 2 704 899 person-years of follow-up, 2709 participants experienced incident gout. The overall PDI was not significantly associated with gout in either cohort (Q5 vs Q1 pooled hazard ratio [HR], 1.02 [95% CI, 0.89-1.17]; P for trend = .63). In the pooled analysis, hPDI was significantly inversely associated with risk of gout (Q5 vs Q1 HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.69-0.91]; P for trend = .002), while the uPDI was positively associated with risk of gout (Q5 vs Q1 HR, 1.17 [95% CI, 1.03-1.33]; P for trend = .02), particularly in women (Q5 vs Q1 HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.05-1.62]; P for trend = .01). In analysis of individual food groups, higher intakes of certain healthy plant foods, such as whole grains (pooled HR per 1 serving/d, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.89-0.97]) and tea and coffee (pooled HR per 1 serving/d, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.92-0.97]), as well as dairy (pooled HR per 1 serving/d, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.82-0.90]), were independently associated with a lower risk of gout, while selected unhealthy plant foods, such as fruit juice (pooled HR per 1 serving/d, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.00-1.13]) and sugar-sweetened beverages (pooled HR per 1 serving/d, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.07-1.26]) were associated with increased risk of gout. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The findings of this prospective cohort study of PDIs and gout support current dietary recommendations to increase consumption of healthy plant foods while lowering intake of unhealthy plant foods to mitigate gout risk.