Abstract
BACKGROUND: Endometrial proliferative lesions (EPL) usually refer to endometrial hyperplasia (EH) and endometrial cancer (EC). Among patients with premenopausal EPL who wish to preserve their fertility, only those with EH and early-stage EC have the possibility to undergo fertility preservation therapy. However, there is currently a lack of specific and reliable screening criteria and models for identifying these patients. METHODS: This study utilized a retrospective diagnostic study design. The training set included medical record information that met the criteria between August 2017 and October 2022, while the validation set consisted of medical record information that met the criteria from November 2022 to May 2023. The endometrial pathological test served as the gold standard. The serum anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH) level before endometrial sampling and a regression model were employed to predict EPL. RESULTS: The study included a total of 1209 patients with PCOS (1119 in the control group and 90 in the endometrial proliferative lesion group) and 5366 women without PCOS (5249 in the control group and 117 in the proliferative lesion group). In the case of PCOS patients aged 20-39 years, the most effective screening threshold for AMH was found to be a serum AMH level of ≤5.39 ng/mL. The model used for this group was logit(p) = -2.562 - 0.430 × AMH + 0.127 × BMI + 1.512 × hypertension + 0.956 × diabetes -1.145 × regular menstruation. On the other hand, for non-PCOS women aged 20-39 years, the optimal screening threshold for AMH was determined to be a serum AMH value of ≤2.18 ng/mL. The model used for this group was logit(p) = -3.778 - 0.823 × AMH + 0.176 × BMI + 2.660 × diabetes -1.527 × regular menstruation -1.117 × dysmenorrhea. It is important to note that all of these findings have successfully passed internal verification. CONCLUSION: For PCOS and non-PCOS women aged 20-39 years, the serum AMH test and related multiple regression models were obtained for the warning of EPL.