Molecular mimicry and COVID-19: Potential implications for global fertility

分子模拟与新冠肺炎:对全球生育率的潜在影响

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Abstract

There has been a concerning increase in the incidence of autoimmune diseases following SARS-CoV-2 infection, with molecular mimicry proposed as a potential mechanism. Our study identified nine fertility-associated proteins (AMH, BMP2, CUBN, DNER, ERCC1, KASH5, MSLN, TPO, and ZP3) that exhibit potential molecular mimicry with MHC-II epitopes of SARS-CoV-2 proteins (N, ORF1A, ORF1AB, and S). We screened for epitopes based on in silico binding using DR-, DQ-, and DP-haplotypes that predispose susceptible individuals to autoimmune diseases. Our systematic analysis revealed that 41 countries with population coverage of over 50% had a pre-COVID pandemic total fertility rate of less than 2.1 births per woman. With over 761 million people from 229 countries and territories infected since December 2019, there may be a potential for a foreseeable negative effect on fertility in specific countries, particularly in high-income economies experiencing rapid demographic changes.

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