Abstract
Background: Statins have been associated with a reduced risk of primary liver cancer (PLC), primarily hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the optimal use for effective protection and whether benefits vary by patient characteristics remain unclear. We evaluated the association between statin use and PLC risk in metabolic-dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), considering cumulative exposure and potential effect modifiers. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the Veteran Affairs electronic health records. Patients with chronically elevated liver enzymes and metabolic dysfunction, without other chronic liver diseases, were identified between 2007 and 2009 and followed through 2019 for incident PLC. Statin exposure was assessed at baseline and during the follow-up, with dose standardization by LDL-lowering potency (simvastatin-equivalent units). Time to PLC was analyzed using Cox models adjusted for covariates, considering potential interactions. Results: Among 329,577 patients (92% male; median age 62 years), 0.82% developed PLC (median follow-up of 9.7 years). Baseline statin use showed a significantly lower PLC risk (adjusted hazard ratio 0.64; 95% CI, 0.57-0.71; p < 0.0001). No significant interaction was observed with age, sex, metabolic syndrome, or cirrhosis. Higher cumulative statin exposure demonstrated a dose-dependent risk reduction, remaining significant at simvastatin-equivalent doses > 15,561 mg annually after accounting for incident cirrhosis. Atorvastatin/rosuvastatin use provided comparable protection, despite different lipophilicity, and demonstrated stronger effects than others. Conclusions: In MASLD, statin therapy was associated with a dose-dependent PLC risk reduction. High-intensity therapy (simvastatin-equivalent > 40 mg daily) conferred substantial protection regardless of age, sex, insulin resistance, or cirrhosis, supporting a potential statin-based PLC chemoprevention in MASLD.