Abstract
BACKGROUND: The pathophysiology of post-infective fatigue syndromes (PIFS), including Long COVID, is unknown. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to investigate if PIFS is associated with persistent immune activation. METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science were searched for terms related to infection, fatigue, persistent symptoms, and immunological markers. POPULATION: adults and adolescents; Exposure: documented acute infection; Comparator: those who developed PIFS vs. recovered controls from the same exposure; and Outcomes: immunological biomarkers. Studies which documented acute infection, applied diagnostic criteria for PIFS, and assayed circulating immunologic markers were eligible. FINDINGS: From 14,985 studies screened, 30 articles were included (n = 5102 participants; 833 PIFS/PIFS-like cases, n = 4269 recovered control participants) with many studies excluded by inadequate quality in eligibility criteria. The meta-analysis (11 studies; n = 413 PIFS cases, analysed with random-effects models) showed PIFS cases had increased: white cell counts at 3-6 months (Cohen's d: 0.41, 95% CI 0.09-0.74); and circulating levels of RANTES and TNFα at 6-12 months (Cohen's d: 0.45 [95% CI 0.16-0.73] and 0.30 [95% CI 0.04-0.57], respectively) compared to controls recovered from the same exposure. INTERPRETATION: These findings provide cautious support for persistent immune activation in PIFS, but warrant further replication. Future studies should include better documentation of acute infection and PIFS case characterisation. FUNDING: ARL is supported by a National Health and Medical Research Council Practitioner Fellowship (Grant 1041897). CXS is supported by a Cancer Institute New South Wales Early Career Fellowship (2021/ECF1310). BZK is supported by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (AI 105781). RAE is supported by the National Institute for Health and Care.