Using prior-data conflict to tune Bayesian regularized regression models

利用先验数据冲突来调整贝叶斯正则化回归模型

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Abstract

In high-dimensional regression models, variable selection becomes challenging from a computational and theoretical perspective. Bayesian regularized regression via shrinkage priors like the Laplace or spike-and-slab prior are effective methods for variable selection in p > n scenarios provided the shrinkage priors are configured adequately. We propose an empirical Bayes configuration using checks for prior-data conflict: tests that assess whether there is disagreement in parameter information provided by the prior and data. We apply our proposed method to the Bayesian LASSO and spike-and-slab shrinkage priors in the linear regression model and assess the variable selection performance of our prior configurations through a high-dimensional simulation study. Additionally, we apply our method to proteomic data collected from patients admitted to the Albany Medical Center in Albany NY in April of 2020 with COVID-like respiratory issues. Simulation results suggest our proposed configurations may outperform competing models when the true regression effects are small. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11222-025-10582-1.

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