Abstract
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Women treated with large loop excision of the transformation zone (LLETZ) for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2-3 (CIN2-3) remain at risk of CIN2-3 and cervical cancer for many years. We assessed the roles of high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) post-LLETZ, surgical margins, and LLETZ characteristics on the long-term risk of CIN2-3. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was performed using data for 432 women with a histological diagnosis of CIN2-3 treated by LLETZ between 1996 and 2020 and followed-up until October 2021 at Hospital Bellvitge in Barcelona, Spain. Age, surgical margins, 6-month HR-HPV status, excision type, and cone volume/dimensions were analyzed in association with the risk of persistent/recurrent CIN2-3. The cumulative probability of persistent/recurrent CIN2-3 was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier and Cox models. RESULTS: Persistent/recurrent CIN2-3 was detected in 7.4%, with over 90% found within 5 years post-LLETZ. Predictors of persistent/recurrent CIN2-3 were HR-HPV (HR = 7.36, 95% CI = 3.55-15.26), involved margins (HR = 3.94, 95% CI = 1.68-9.25), uncertain margins (HR = 4.42, 95% CI = 1.55-12.55), and age ≥ 35 years (HR = 2.92, 95% CI = 1.19-7.13). Type 3 excision (p = 0.035) and cone length (p = 0.010) correlated with clear margins. The negative predictive value (NPV) of both negative HR-HPV and clear margins post-LLETZ was 98.7%. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of negative HR-HPV and clear margins post-LLETZ provides stronger reassurance against the risk of persistent/recurrent CIN2-3 than do LLETZ characteristics. However, larger excisions in older women likely reduce the risk of involved margins. Close surveillance, including repeat HR-HPV testing in the first 5 years post-LLETZ, is crucial.