Artificial intelligence versus radiologists in predicting lung cancer treatment response: a systematic review and meta-analysis

人工智能与放射科医生在预测肺癌治疗反应方面的比较:系统评价和荟萃分析

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a promising adjunct to radiologist interpretation in oncology imaging. This systematic review and meta-analysis compares the diagnostic performance of AI systems versus radiologists in predicting lung cancer treatment response, focusing solely on treatment response rather than diagnosis. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library from inception to March 31, 2025; Google Scholar and CINAHL were used for citation chasing/grey literature. The review protocol was prospectively registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251048243). Studies directly comparing AI-based imaging analysis with radiologist interpretation for predicting treatment response in lung cancer were included. Two reviewers extracted data independently (Cohen's κ = 0.87). We pooled sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and risk differences using DerSimonian-Laird random-effects models. Heterogeneity (I²), threshold effects (Spearman correlation), and publication bias (funnel plots, Egger's test) were assessed. Subgroups were prespecified by imaging modality and therapy class. RESULTS: Eleven retrospective studies (n = 6,615) were included. Pooled sensitivity for AI was 0.9 (95% CI: 0.8-0.9; I² = 58%), specificity 0.8 (95% CI: 0.8-0.9; I² = 52%), and accuracy 0.9 (95% CI: 0.8-0.9; pooled OR = 1.4, 95% CI: 1.2-1.7). Risk difference favored AI by 0.06 for sensitivity and 0.04 for specificity. AI's advantage was most apparent in CT and PET/CT, with smaller/non-significant gains in MRI. Egger's test suggested no significant publication bias (p = 0.21). CONCLUSION: AI demonstrates modest but statistically significant superiority over radiologists in predicting lung cancer treatment response, particularly in CT and PET/CT imaging. However, generalizability is limited by retrospective study dominance, incomplete demographic reporting, lack of regulatory clearance, and minimal cost-effectiveness evaluation. Prospective, multicenter trials incorporating explainable AI (e.g., SHAP, Grad-CAM), equity assessments, and formal economic analyses are needed. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier CRD420251048243.

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