Shrunken pore syndrome in relation to morbidity and mortality in the population-based Malmö Diet and Cancer cohort: a generalized propensity score approach

基于人群的马尔默饮食与癌症队列研究中,毛孔萎缩综合征与发病率和死亡率的关系:一种广义倾向评分方法

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Abstract

PURPOSE: Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is used for evaluating kidney function. Creatinine and cystatin C levels are the two endogenous substances used to estimate GFR (eGFR(CR) and eGFR(CYS)). The agreement between these two is reflected by the eGFR(CYS)/eGFR(CR) ratio. An eGFR(CYS)/eGFR(CR) ratio <0.70 has been strongly associated with mortality and morbidity. An explanation is a selective decrease in the filtration of substances of different masses, and this condition is referred to as "Shrunken pore syndrome" (SPS). We aim to investigate the prevalence of SPS and its association with morbidity and mortality in a well-characterized population-based cohort. METHODS: The study population consisted of 5,061 individuals from the Malmö Diet and Cancer cardiovascular cohort (MDC-CC) with baseline examinations between 1991 and 1994 and a median follow-up of 25.3 years (IQR = 5.7). The eGFR(CYS)/eGFR(CR) ratio was categorized into four groups and used to estimate a generalized propensity score for SPS to adjust for confounding factors. Individuals were matched to create a quartet (one from each eGFR(CYS)/eGFR(CR) ratio category) with similar scores. We related the eGFR(CYS)/eGFR(CR) ratio to all-cause mortality, incident cardiovascular disease, incident kidney disease, and incident diabetes using Cox proportional hazards models with shared frailty. RESULTS: SPS was detected in 405 individuals (8.0%). The hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality was 1.6 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.3-2.0] when comparing individuals with SPS to the reference group (eGFR(CYS)/eGFR(CR) ratio ≥ 1.0). For incident kidney disease, the association seems to stem from a low eGFR(CYS) rather than the eGFR(CYS)/eGFR(CR) ratio. For the other two outcomes, robust and statistically significant associations could not be found. CONCLUSION: SPS was prevalent among middle-aged, generally healthy, individuals and led to markedly higher mortality during follow-up.

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