Abstract
BACKGROUND: Malignant mesothelioma (MM) is a relatively rare and highly lethal tumor with few treatment options. Thus, it is important to identify prognostic markers that can help clinicians diagnose mesothelioma earlier and assess disease activity more accurately. Alternative splicing (AS) events have been recognized as critical signatures for tumor diagnosis and treatment in multiple cancers, including MM. METHODS: We systematically examined the AS events and clinical information of 83 MM samples from TCGA database. Univariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify AS events associated with overall survival. LASSO analyses followed by multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to construct the prognostic signatures and assess the accuracy of these prognostic signatures by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses. The ImmuCellAI and ssGSEA algorithms were used to assess the degrees of immune cell infiltration in MM samples. The survival-related splicing regulatory network was established based on the correlation between survival-related AS events and splicing factors (SFs). RESULTS: A total of 3976 AS events associated with overall survival were identified by univariate Cox regression analysis, and ES events accounted for the greatest proportion. We constructed prognostic signatures based on survival-related AS events. The prognostic signatures proved to be an efficient predictor with an area under the curve (AUC) greater than 0.9. Additionally, the risk score based on 6 key AS events proved to be an independent prognostic factor, and a nomogram composed of 6 key AS events was established. We found that the risk score was significantly decreased in patients with the epithelioid subtype. In addition, unsupervised clustering clearly showed that the risk score was associated with immune cell infiltration. The abundances of cytotoxic T (Tc) cells, natural killer (NK) cells and T-helper 17 (Th17) cells were higher in the high-risk group, whereas the abundances of induced regulatory T (iTreg) cells were lower in the high-risk group. Finally, we identified 3 SFs (HSPB1, INTS1 and LUC7L2) that were significantly associated with MM patient survival and then constructed a regulatory network between the 3 SFs and survival-related AS to reveal potential regulatory mechanisms in MM. CONCLUSION: Our study provided a prognostic signature based on 6 key events, representing a better effective tumor-specific diagnostic and prognostic marker than the TNM staging system. AS events that are correlated with the immune system may be potential therapeutic targets for MM.