Abstract
PURPOSE: There are remarkable advances in the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in the last few years. Unfortunately, prolonged antiviral treatment is associated with increasing risk of drug resistance/viral breakthrough (VBT), which may lead to flare-up and rapid decompensation. We have designed this study to predict the pretreatment and on-treatment factors responsible for development of VBT. METHODS: This study was conducted during the period of February 2000 to November 2007. We have included 423 patients who received lamivudine (LAM) therapy for at least 1 year and at least 2 follow-ups at 6 months' interval. Follow-up period was 12-78 months. Chi-square test, student's t test, and logistic regression analysis were performed to prove the validity. RESULTS: Of the 423 study cases, 367 (86.8%) were of male patients and 261 (61.7%) patients were HBeAg positive; the age of the patients was 30.8 +/- 12.9 years. Development of VBT was 4.4, 22.8, 45.3, and 74% at 1, 2, 3, and 4 or more years, respectively. Pretreatment high HBV DNA (P = 0.005) and female sex (P = 0.01) were associated with VBT and pretherapy ALT (P = 0.698), HBeAg status (P = 0.273), and age (P = 0.059) were not associated. Duration of treatment, failure to lose HBeAg at 1 year, and HBV DNA nonresponder at 6 months were significantly (P = 0.001) associated with development of VBT. CONCLUSION: Persistence of HBeAg at 1 year and HBV DNA nonresponder at 6 months are good predictors of development of VBT.