SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia as a reliable predictor of long-term mortality among older adults hospitalized in pulmonary intermediate care units: a prospective cohort study

SARS-CoV-2 RNA血症作为老年肺科重症监护病房住院患者长期死亡率的可靠预测指标:一项前瞻性队列研究

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 viremia is associated with disease severity and high risk for in-hospital mortality. However, the impact of SARS-CoV-2 viremia on long-term outcomes in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 is poorly understood. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study and recruited a group of older adult patients with COVID-19 admitted to pulmonary intermediate care units of Peking University Third Hospital during December 2022 and January 2023. The plasma level of SARS-CoV-2 RNA was determined by a standardized RT-PCR technique, and SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia was defined as a plasma viral load ≥ 50 copies/ml. In-hospital and follow-up (180-day) outcome data were collected. RESULTS: A total of 101 patients with an average of 80.4 years were recruited, and 63.4% of them were severe or very severe cases. Twenty-eight patients (27.7%) had SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia, with a median viral RNA load of 422.1 [261.3, 1085.6] copies/ml. Patients with SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia were more likely to develop critical cases and had a higher incidence of sepsis. Accordingly, they had a higher 180-day mortality (57.1% vs. 19.7%, P < 0.001), as well as in-hospital mortality (50.0% vs. 13.7%, P < 0.001), independent of age, disease severity, sepsis, lymphocyte count and C-Reactive protein. In addition, the risk for 180-day mortality increased with the SARS-CoV-2 RNA load in plasma. Plasma cytokines, including IL-6, IL-8 and IL-10, were higher in patients with SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia. CONCLUSIONS: Our study indicates that SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia serves as a useful biomarker for predicting mortality, especially long-term mortality, in older adult patients hospitalized in pulmonary intermediate care units. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry website (No. ChiCTR2300067434).

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