Evaluating the efficacy of different antibiotics against Neisseria gonorrhoeae: a pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic analysis using Monte Carlo simulation

利用蒙特卡罗模拟进行药代动力学/药效学分析,评估不同抗生素对淋病奈瑟菌的疗效

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: With the widespread use of antibiotics, antimicrobial resistance in Neisseria gonorrhoeae is worsening. The objective of this study was to evaluate the efficacy changes of seven antibiotics in the treatment of N. gonorrhoeae by using Monte Carlo simulation combined with pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics/ (PK/PD). METHODS: The minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) of antibiotics against clinical isolates from 2013 to 2020 in Nanjing, China, was determined by agar dilution method. The probability of target attainment (PTA) was estimated at each MIC value and the cumulative fraction of response (CFR) was calculated to evaluate the efficacy of these regimens. RESULTS: All dosage regimens of seven antibiotics achieved PTAs ≥ 90% for MIC ≤ 0.06 µg/ml. But when the MIC was increased to 1 µg/ml, PTAs at each MIC value exceeded 90% only for ceftriaxone 1,000 mg and 2,000 mg, zoliflodacin 2,000 mg and 3,000 mg. Among them, the CFR values of each dosing regimen against N. gonorrhoeae only for ceftriaxone, cefixime and zoliflodacin were ≥ 90% in Nanjing from 2013 to 2020. CONCLUSIONS: Cephalosporins are still the first-line drugs in the treatment of gonorrhea. However, the elevated MIC values of cephalosporins can lead to decline in clinical efficacy of the conventional dose regimens, and increasing the dose of ceftriaxone to 1,000 mg-2,000 mg may improve the efficacy. In addition, zoliflodacin is possible to be a potential therapeutic agent in the future.

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