Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Prediction of futile recanalization (FR), i.e. failure of long-term functional independence despite full reperfusion in mechanical thrombectomy (MT), is instrumental in patients undergoing endovascular therapy. METHODS: Retrospective single-center analysis of patients treated for anterior circulation LVO ensuing successful MT (mTICI 2c-3) between January 2014 and April 2019. FR was defined as modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 90 days after stroke onset > 2 or mRS > pre-stroke mRS. Multivariable analysis was performed with variables available before treatment initiation regarding their association with FR. Performance of the regression model was then compared with a model including parameters available after MT. RESULTS: Successful MT was experienced by 549/1146 patients in total. FR occurred in 262/549 (47.7%) patients. Independent predictors of FR were male sex, odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.98 (1.31-3.05, p 0.001), age (OR 1.05, CI 1.03-1.07, p < 0.001), NIHSS on admission (OR 1.10, CI 1.06-1.13, p < 0.001), pre-stroke mRS (OR 1.22, CI 1.03-1.46, p 0.025), neutrophile-lymphocyte ratio (OR 1.03, CI 1.00-1.06, p 0.022), baseline ASPECTS (OR 0.77, CI 0.68-0.88, p < 0.001), and absence of bridging i.v. lysis (OR 1.62, 1.09-2.42, p 0.016). The prediction model's Area Under the Curve was 0.78 (CI 0.74-0.82) and increased with parameters available after MT to 0.86 (CI 0.83-0.89) with failure of early neurological improvement being the most important predictor of FR (OR 15.0, CI 7.2-33.8). CONCLUSION: A variety of preinterventional factors may predict FR with substantial certainty, but the prediction model can still be improved by considering parameters only available after MT, in particular early neurological improvement.