An application of a non-homogeneous Poisson model to study PM(2.5) exceedances in Mexico City and Bogota

应用非齐次泊松模型研究墨西哥城和波哥大PM2.5超标情况

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Abstract

It is very important to study the occurrence of high levels of particulate matter due to the potential harm to people's health and to the environment. In the present work we use a non-homogeneous Poisson model to analyse the rate of exceedances of particulate matter with diameter smaller that 2.5 microns (PM 2.5 ). Models with and without change-points are considered and they are applied to data from Bogota, Colombia, and Mexico City, Mexico. Results show that whereas in Bogota larger particles pose a more serious problem, in Mexico City, even though nowadays levels are more controlled, in the recent past PM 2.5 were the ones causing serious problems.

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