Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Our article's primary objective is to examine whether rehabilitation providers can predict which patients discharged from skilled nursing facility (SNF) rehabilitation will be successful in their transition to home, controlling for sociodemographic factors and physical, mental, and social health characteristics. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: One hundred-twelve English-speaking adults aged 65 years and older admitted to 2 SNF rehabilitation units. MEASURES: Our outcome is time to "failed transition to home," which identified SNF rehabilitation patients who did not successfully transition from the SNF to home during the study. Our primary independent variable consisted of the prediction of medical providers, occupational therapists, physical therapists, and social workers about the likely success of their patients' SNF-to-home transition. We also examined the association of sociodemographic factors and physical, mental, and social health with a failed transition to home. RESULTS: The predictions of occupational and physical therapists were associated with whether patients successfully transitioned from the SNF to their homes in bivariate [hazard ratio (HR) = 4.96, P = .014; HR = 10.91, P = .002, respectively] and multivariate (HR = 5.07, P = .036; HR = 53.33, P = .004) analyses. The predictions of medical providers and social workers, however, were not associated with our outcome in either bivariate (HR = 1.44, P = .512; HR = 0.84, P = .794, respectively) or multivariate (HR = 0.57, P = .487; HR = 0.54, P = .665) analyses. Living alone, more medical conditions, lower physical functioning scores, and greater depression scores were also associated with time to failed transition to home. CONCLUSIONS/IMPLICATIONS: These findings suggest that occupational and physical therapists may be better able to predict post-SNF discharge outcomes than are other rehabilitation providers. Why occupational and physical therapists' predictions are associated with the SNF-to-home outcome whereas the predictions of medical providers and social workers are not is uncertain. A better understanding of the factors informing the postdischarge predictions of occupational and physical therapists may help identify ways to improve the SNF-to-home discharge planning process.