Calling for an exponential escalation scheme in vaccine development for COVID-19

呼吁在新冠肺炎疫苗研发中采用指数级递增方案

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Abstract

PURPOSE: COVID-19 as a pandemic calls for rapid development of vaccines. METHODS: Here a proposal of a seamless, adaptive, phase 1-3 trial for accelerated vaccine development is described. RESULTS: Starting at 10, the number of vaccinated volunteers would exponentially increase by tenfold at an interval of 2 weeks; close surveillance of antibody responses, safety and efficacy is necessary. After only 16 weeks, general vaccination would be feasible if supply meets the demand. CONCLUSION: A COVID-19 vaccine would be rapidly available at a slightly increased risk for undetected late side effects or insufficient efficacy if compared with standard vaccine development schemes.

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