Serial Interval and Reproductive Number of COVID-19 Among 116 Infector-infectee Pairs - Jingzhou City, Hubei Province, China, 2020

2020年中国湖北省荆州市116对感染者-被感染者中COVID-19的连续间隔和基本再生数

阅读:1

Abstract

WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC? The key epidemiological parameters including serial interval, basic reproductive number (R (0)), and effective reproductive number (R (t)) are crucial for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) control and prevention. Previous studies provided different estimations but were often flawed by some limitations such as insufficient sample size and selection bias. WHAT IS ADDED BY THIS REPORT? In this study, a total of 116 infector-infectee pairs meeting strict inclusion criteria were selected for analysis. The mean serial interval of COVID-19 was 5.81 days (standard deviation: 3.24). The estimated mean with 95% confidence interval of R (0) was 3.39 (3.07-3.75) and 2.98 (2.62-3.38) using exponential growth (EG) and maximum likelihood (ML) methods, respectively. The R (t) in the early phase of the epidemic was above 1 with the peak of 4.43 occurring on January 8, and then showing subsequent declines and approaching 1 on January 24. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICES? This study supports previous findings that COVID-19 has high transmissibility and that implementing comprehensive measures is effective in controlling the COVID-19 outbreak.

特别声明

1、本页面内容包含部分的内容是基于公开信息的合理引用;引用内容仅为补充信息,不代表本站立场。

2、若认为本页面引用内容涉及侵权,请及时与本站联系,我们将第一时间处理。

3、其他媒体/个人如需使用本页面原创内容,需注明“来源:[生知库]”并获得授权;使用引用内容的,需自行联系原作者获得许可。

4、投稿及合作请联系:info@biocloudy.com。