Abstract
BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular (CV) disease is a condition with high levels of morbidity and mortality. Canakinumab is a novel monoclonal antibody therapy that has been shown to reduce CV events but is associated with side effects and high cost. The main objective for this analysis is to determine whether canakinumab use is cost-effective for the prevention of recurrent CV events. METHODS: A decision model was developed to estimate the direct costs and outcomes among patients who have suffered a myocardial infarction and are treated with canakinumab. A lifetime study horizon was used to analyze the base-case costs and utilities from the perspective of the Canadian publicly funded healthcare system. Markov modeling was used in combination with Monte Carlo simulation to derive expected values for costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), permitting the calculation of incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. RESULTS: Canakinumab was associated with higher average lifetime costs per patient ($457,982 vs $82,565) and higher average QALYs per patient (14.90 vs 14.20), compared with standard of care. Thus, the incremental cost per QALY gained for canakinumab treatment vs standard-of-care therapy was $535,365. The probability that canakinumab treatment is cost-effective was 0%. Results were consistent over a range of scenario analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment of patients post-myocardial infarction with canakinumab is not cost-effective, compared with standard-of-care therapy at the current price. Based on currently accepted willingness-to-pay thresholds in Canada, a reduction in price of 91% is required to yield a cost per patient that would be considered appropriate.