Abstract
BACKGROUND: Angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor (ARNi) therapy improves clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction. However, ARNi therapy uptake remains modest, potentially in part due to perceived cost considerations of early transition from angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker therapy. METHODS: We constructed a decision-analytic Markov model to assess cost-effectiveness of 3 different ARNi initiation strategies according to timing of initiation: (1) de novo, or immediate initiation at baseline, (2) Early or after 3 months, or (3) Late, or after 9 months. Initiation strategies were compared with (4) current care, with utilization of ARNi derived from a large observational database. Total costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were estimated over a 5-year time horizon in the base case analysis. RESULTS: Current care was associated with the lowest total cost (CAD$26,664) and accrued benefit (3.28 QALYs). The de novo strategy yielded an ICER of $34,727 per QALY gained, whereas Early and Late initiation strategies yielded a less favourable ICER per QALY gained of $35,871 and $40,234, respectively. The model was most sensitive to the cost of ARNi therapy. CONCLUSION: A strategy of de novo ARNi initiation is economically attractive and becomes less favourable as the delay of initiation increases. Our results suggest that ARNi therapy should be initiated as soon as possible for patients with heart failure and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction.