Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Accurate prediction of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is crucial for timely intervention. This study focuses on the Systemic Inflammatory Response Index (SIRI) to assess its clinical value in predicting the severity of AP in the Vietnamese context. METHODS: A cross-sectional prospective study was conducted with acute pancreatitis patients at a national hospital in Ho Chi Minh City. The patients were classified into nonsevere and severe groups, and the clinical characteristics were analyzed. The predictive abilities of SIRI, calculated using neutrophil × monocyte/lymphocyte, was assessed for predictive abilities. Multivariate regression and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves evaluated the prognostic factors and predictive accuracy. RESULTS: Among 207 patients, 78.7% had nonsevere AP, and 21.3% had SAP. The severe group exhibited a significantly higher median SIRI (12.0) than the nonsevere group (4.9) (P < 0.001). Multivariate regression identified SIRI (odds ratio [OR] = 1.623) as an independent predictor of SAP. The ROC curve determined a SIRI cutoff of 7.82 with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.737. Combining the SIRI and Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) score improved the predictive ability (AUC = 0.820) with increased sensitivity (90.91%) (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: SIRI, particularly when combined with the BISAP score, shows significant potential to predict SAP severity in the Vietnamese clinical setting, providing valuable information for effective patient management.