Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM: Advanced fibrosis is the most important predictor of liver-related mortality in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The aim of this study was to compare the diagnostic performance of noninvasive scoring systems in identifying advanced fibrosis in a Malaysian NAFLD cohort and propose a simplified strategy for the management of NAFLD in a primary care setting. METHODS: We enrolled and reviewed 122 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients. Advanced fibrosis was defined as fibrosis stages 3-4. Noninvasive assessments included aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio, AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), AST/ALT ratio, diabetes (BARD) score, fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, and NAFLD fibrosis score. RESULTS: FIB-4 score had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.86 and 94.3%, respectively, for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis. FIB-4 score < 1.3 ruled out advanced fibrosis in 72% of the patients, with 6% being understaged. Further stratification of the indeterminate group patients by other non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) clinical predictors, such as abnormal gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) level and presence diabetes mellitus (DM), could further reduce the number of patients who are unlikely to have advanced fibrosis by 52% and 35%, respectively. CONCLUSION: We found that FIB-4 score outperforms other scoring systems based on AUROC and NPV. The use of a simple scoring system such as FIB-4 as first-line triage to risk-stratify NAFLD patients in the primary care setting, with further stratification of those in the indeterminate group using clinical predictors of NASH, can help in the development of a simplified strategy for a public health approach in the management of NAFLD.