CA-125 cut-off value as a predictor for complete interval debulking surgery after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with advanced ovarian cancer

CA-125 临界值作为预测晚期卵巢癌患者新辅助化疗后完全间隔减瘤手术的指标

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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: In the present study, we evaluated changes in CA-125 cut-off values predictive of complete interval debulking surgery (IDS) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. METHODS: This retrospective single-institution study included patients with International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage III epithelial ovarian cancer and a pre-NAC serum CA-125 level of greater than 40 U/mL who were treated with neoadjuvant platinum-based chemotherapy followed by IDS between 1994 and 2009. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate univariate and independent multivariate associations with the effect of clinical, pathological, and CA-125 parameters on complete IDS, and ROC analysis was used to determine potential cut-off values of CA-125 for prediction of the possibility of complete IDS. RESULTS: Seventy-five patients were identified. Complete IDS was achieved in 46 (61.3%) patients and non-complete IDS was observed 29 (38.7%). Median pre-NAC CA-125 level was 639 U/mL (range, 57 to 6,539 U/mL) in the complete IDS group and 1,427 U/mL (range, 45 to 10,989 U/mL) in the non-complete IDS group. Median pre-IDS CA-125 level was 15 U/mL (range, 2 to 60 U/mL) in the complete IDS group and 53 U/mL (range, 5 to 980 U/mL) in the non-complete IDS group (p<0.001). Multivariate analyses performed with complete IDS as the endpoint revealed only pre-IDS CA-125 as an independent predictor. The odds ratio of non-complete IDS was 10.861 when the pre-IDS CA-125 level was greater than 20 U/mL. CONCLUSION: The present data suggest that in the setting of IDS after platinum-based NAC for advanced ovarian cancer, a pre-IDS CA-125 level less than 20 U/mL is an independent predictor of complete IDS.

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